Every Friday the CFTC publishes how each category of futures trader is positioned. This tool takes the last few weeks of that positioning for a contract and scores it against the same weeks of every earlier year, then shows what positioning did over the weeks that followed each match.
Average of 5 weekly reports to 2026-09-15 · workbook to 2026-05-19, then 17 weeks from the CFTC
Over the next 4 weeks, managed money bought in 3 and sold in 0 of the 3 years scoring 80% or more.
| Week | 2021 | 2022 | 2020 | This year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -4 | +11.8% | +13.1% | +1.1% | +10.5% |
| -3 | +11.7% | +13.4% | +1.9% | +15.6% |
| -2 | +11.7% | +13.6% | +3.2% | +16.6% |
| -1 | +13.4% | +13.3% | +5.0% | +16.4% |
| Reference | +13.7% | +13.3% | +5.7% | +16.0% |
| +1 | +12.5% | +14.2% | +6.8% | — |
| +2 | +12.0% | +13.7% | +8.5% | — |
| +3 | +13.0% | +14.2% | +10.2% | — |
| +4 | +16.3% | +14.2% | +12.8% | — |
Ranked by similarity. Each chart shows that year in colour against this year in black.
Report week ending 2026-09-15
No year scores 80% or more
No year scores 80% or more
Because the score is a cosine on a weighted vector, numbers cluster high and only the ordering is meaningful: an 85% match is not “85% likely” to do anything. The forward columns show what positioning did next, not what the price did. Source: CFTC Commitments of Traders, disaggregated futures-and-options combined, published by the CFTC and used here unmodified. Data as built on 2026-09-19. This page is information, not investment advice.